Posts Tagged ‘credit report’

The Recession: 10 Years Later

Posted on December 08, 2017 by Laura Lam

In December 2007, employment peaked and started to head south – for two long years.  What followed: The loss of more than 8 million jobs, half the value of the Dow and the S&P 500, and trillions of dollars in retirement accounts and household wealth. Lives and businesses were ruined and whole neighborhoods emptied out, as banks took back homes bought on badly underwritten credit. A decade later, the American economy has recovered in many ways. Employers have been steadily adding jobs since early 2010, the stock market is booming and home prices have reached new all-time highs.  But in…

Mortgage Delinquency Rates Lowest Since Recession

Posted on December 07, 2017 by Laura Lam

The serious mortgage borrower delinquency rate, which is considered 60 days or more past due, dropped about 16% annually to 1.91% by the end of the third quarter of 2017, according to TransUnion’s report.  “Serious mortgage delinquency rates continue to drop to new post-recession lows, indicating there may be opportunities to responsibly expand access,” said Joe Mellman, TransUnion senior vice president and mortgage business leader. Delinquency rates have continued to drop consistently year-over-year since the third quarter of 2010, and now fell to the lowest point since the recession. In fact, the only state that didn’t see a decrease in annual…

Could Capital Gains Tax Reform Reduce Housing Supply?

Posted on December 06, 2017 by Laura Lam

While tax reform will impact everyone who works in mortgage finance to some degree, it may also affect potential homeowners and home sellers via reform to the capital gains tax.  Capital gains is a tax that may be levied when an investor sells an asset at a notable profit — selling a home may be an example of this type of taxable transaction. Data and analytics firm Black Knight did a deep dig into the tax reform.  One clear finding from Black Knight is that proposed changes to the capital gains exemption on profits from the sale of a home…

Debt-to-Income Levels Could be Under Stress

Posted on November 28, 2017 by Laura Lam

Defaults for second lien mortgages and other types of consumer credit in October were up compared to the previous month, according to Standard & Poor’s and Experian’s indices.  “For the first time since January 2017, the default rate for autos, bank cards and mortgages all rose together,” said David Blitzer, managing director and chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “The data does not suggest any unusual financial stress facing consumers which would explain the small, but across the board increases in default rates,” he said.  However, “the one concerning item, which might explain the default numbers, is recent…

Housing Affordability May Plummet in 2018

Posted on November 21, 2017 by Laura Lam

During the recent CoreLogic and the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance, Affordability and Supply in the Digital Age conference, CoreLogic Chief Economist Frank Nothaft predicted rising interest rates will cause home prices to rise.  Mortgage interest rates are expected to continue rising over the next couple years as experts predict the Federal Reserve will raise the Federal Funds rate in once more this year in December and up to 4 more times in 2018. As the chart shows, CoreLogic forecasted it will rise to 4.7% by December 2018. Nothaft explained as mortgage interest rates increase throughout 2018, less current homeowners will be motivated…

Sales to First-Time Home Buyers Fell 34% in 2017

Posted on November 16, 2017 by Laura Lam

First time homebuyers continue to struggle to enter the housing market amidst limited housing inventory, falling to the fourth lowest level since 1981, according to the National Association of Realtors’ 2017 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers report.  The share of first time homebuyers in the housing market decreased from 35% in 2016 to 34% in 2017. In the 36-year history of NAR’s report, the long-term average of first-time homebuyers rests at 39%. “The dreams of many aspiring first-time buyers were unfortunately dimmed over the past year by persistent inventory shortages, which undercut their ability to become homeowners,” stated NAR…

Are Home Equity Loans Staged for a Comeback?

Posted on November 15, 2017 by Laura Lam

There has been a hint of optimism for home equity lending among bankers this earnings season, but attitudes remain mixed a decade after the housing market crash began.  While home equity lines of credit provided a lift to some bank consumer portfolios, a number of other banks said their home equity businesses had fallen and added little about their future. Industry observers say bankers should take the long view. Home equity lines of credit especially are poised to grow now that home values have been rising for a number of years during the economic recovery.  “If you think about the…

Housing Affordability Still Strong Despite Price Increases

Posted on November 14, 2017 by Laura Lam

Home prices continue to increase, yet affordability actually improved since July, according to the latest Mortgage Monitor report from Black Knight.  As of September, the average homeowner needed 21.4% of their median income to purchase a home. This is actually down from July’s post-recession peak of 21.7% and low by historical standards.  For comparison, an average 24.2% of the median income was required to purchase a home from 1995 to 1999. That increased to 26.2% in the years before the housing boom from 2000 to 2003. Interest rates declined about 40 basis points over the past 6 months, offering the opportunity…

Will Regulation Solve Cybersecurity Problems?

Posted on November 13, 2017 by Laura Lam

Cybersecurity was a main topic at a recent New York banking conference.  According to Arthur Lindo, senior associate director of the Fed’s division of supervision and regulation, more rules may not be the best answer to protecting the financial system.  “I don’t think the solution to the cybersecurity problem rests in regulation,” said Lindo.  “We’re going to try a more flexible approach.” The Fed and other regulators issued a notice of proposed rulemaking on cyber risk management standards last year, which is typically followed by a prospective rule. After the industry and others involved in computer security discouraged regulators from…

Millennials are saving more for retirement

Posted on November 10, 2017 by Laura Lam

In the race to save for retirement, one group is doing surprisingly well: millennial parents.  That’s according to a new NerdWallet survey, which found that 38% of millennial parents (ages 18-34) save more than 15% of their income for retirement. All told, millennial parents reported a median retirement savings rate of 10% of income, compared with 8% for Generation X parents (ages 35-54) and just 5% for baby boomer parents (ages 55+). Given the picture typically painted of this age group, you might be shouting “fake news” right now. There’s one caveat: The results include only those currently saving for…