Mortgage Delinquencies Rise After Hurricanes

Posted on December 11, 2017 by Laura Lam

storm surgeThe three major hurricanes that caused devastation during August and September were largely responsible for the third-quarter increase in mortgage delinquencies.  The seasonally adjusted delinquency rate of 4.88% was 64 basis points higher than the second quarter, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s National Delinquency Survey. The 30-day delinquency rate was responsible for 50 basis points of that increase, said Marina Walsh, the MBA’s vice president of industry analysis.  Compared with one year ago, delinquencies were 36 basis points higher.

“Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria caused disruptions and destruction in numerous states,” Walsh said. “Florida, Texas, neighboring states, as well as devastated Puerto Rico, saw substantial increases in their past-due rates.”

Federal Housing Administration-insured mortgages had a 146-basis-point increase in their delinquency rate from the second quarter, to 9.4%. This was the largest quarter-to-quarter increase in the MBA survey’s history, Walsh said.  There was a 52-basis-point increase in Veterans Affairs mortgage delinquencies to 4.24%, while the conventional loan delinquency rate rose 50 basis points to 3.97%.

“While the storms played a critical factor in explaining the rise in the overall delinquency rate, there are other factors to consider, especially given delinquency rate increases in other states not directly impacted by the storms,” she said.

Plus, delinquency rates were at historic lows in the second quarter. The FHA delinquency rate was at its lowest point in 21 years, while for the VA, late payments were at a level not seen since 1979.  “Foreclosure starts were down 1 basis point from the previous quarter,” Walsh said. “In future surveys, we may see a temporary drop in foreclosure starts in hurricane-impacted states due to storm-related foreclosure moratoria, as was seen during Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

“It will likely take about three or four more quarters for the effects of the most recent hurricanes on the survey results to dissipate.”

Source:  National Mortgage News