Archive for the ‘Auto’ Category

The Recession: 10 Years Later

Posted on December 08, 2017 by Laura Lam

In December 2007, employment peaked and started to head south – for two long years.  What followed: The loss of more than 8 million jobs, half the value of the Dow and the S&P 500, and trillions of dollars in retirement accounts and household wealth. Lives and businesses were ruined and whole neighborhoods emptied out, as banks took back homes bought on badly underwritten credit. A decade later, the American economy has recovered in many ways. Employers have been steadily adding jobs since early 2010, the stock market is booming and home prices have reached new all-time highs.  But in…

Debt-to-Income Levels Could be Under Stress

Posted on November 28, 2017 by Laura Lam

Defaults for second lien mortgages and other types of consumer credit in October were up compared to the previous month, according to Standard & Poor’s and Experian’s indices.  “For the first time since January 2017, the default rate for autos, bank cards and mortgages all rose together,” said David Blitzer, managing director and chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “The data does not suggest any unusual financial stress facing consumers which would explain the small, but across the board increases in default rates,” he said.  However, “the one concerning item, which might explain the default numbers, is recent…

Storm Damage: Auto Lenders Brace for Losses

Posted on November 08, 2017 by Laura Lam

U.S. auto lenders are starting to tally the financial damage from late-summer hurricanes that destroyed an estimated 500,000 to one million vehicles.  So far, the impact on lenders has been relatively small, since many of them are offering forbearance to car owners who are struggling to rebuild their lives. Moreover, the biggest U.S. auto lenders have less than 10% market share, so hurricane-related losses will be spread widely across the sector, hitting credit unions and the financing arms of automakers in addition to banks. Still, the industry’s eventual losses seem likely to run into the hundreds of millions of dollars…

Credit Card Delinquencies Are Rising

Posted on November 01, 2017 by Laura Lam

While it’s easy to ignore when the stock market is at record highs and unemployment is reassuringly low, household debt is on the rise.  The Center for Microeconomic Data’s (CMD) latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit reveals that total household debt rose by $114 billion (0.9%) to $12.84 trillion in the second quarter of 2017.  This increase put overall household debt $164 billion above its peak in the third quarter of 2008, and 15.1% above its trough in the second quarter of 2013 Consumer debt, in many ways, should generate more concern – during the good times.  The persistence of…

Best and Worst States for Consumer Credit Scores

Posted on October 30, 2017 by Laura Lam

Consumer credit varies nationally due to regional variations in income and the cost of living.  According to a new study from LendEDU and Experian, the Northeast had the highest average credit score (694). The Midwest (693), Pacific (691), and Rocky Mountain (690) regions followed closely behind. The Southeast (668) and Southwest (662) regions had the lowest credit scores on average.  The best average state scores are roughly 7% higher than the national average, while the worst states are about 7% lower. Vantage Scores were used for the rankings. Scores of 700 and above are considered good, and below 650 is…

Mortgage Default Rates Begin to Rise

Posted on October 24, 2017 by Laura Lam

Mortgage defaults in September were slightly higher than in the previous month and are still lower than a year ago but they are closer to matching levels seen in 2016.  The default rate for first mortgages last month was 0.66%, up a basis point from August, but down a basis point from September a year ago, according to Standard & Poor’s and Experian. Second-mortgage default rates were three basis points higher on a consecutive-month basis at 0.53% but were 3 basis points lower year-to-year.  The composite default rate for mortgage, bank card and auto loan credit was up 2 basis points from…

Consumer Delinquencies Improve in 2Q

Posted on October 16, 2017 by Laura Lam

Delinquencies in closed-end loans held steady in the second quarter as bank card delinquencies fell and home-related categories continued their return to normal levels, according to results from the American Bankers Association’s Consumer Credit Delinquency Bulletin. Overall, delinquencies fell in 8 of the 11 individual consumer loan categories.  The composite ratio, which tracks delinquencies in 8 closed-end installment loan categories, remained at 1.56% of all accounts – well below the 15-year average of 2.16%. “Delinquencies remain below historical levels as consumers continue to show great command of their finances,” said James Chessen, ABA’s chief economist. “The outlook remains very positive,…

Leasing Delinquencies Remain at Historic Lows

Posted on October 11, 2017 by Laura Lam

Recent statistics from the Federal Reserve validate what leasing professionals have understood about their industry for years. The data reach back to the first quarter of 1985 and underscore the fact that, when it comes to delinquencies and charge-offs, equipment leasing remains one of the best performing sectors under the broader umbrella of commercial finance. According to Bob Rinaldi, CEO of Commercial Industrial Finance, Inc., the most recent data on charge-offs and delinquencies offer no surprises. Rinaldi stated, “There’s nothing in this data that should alarm anyone in the industry…the data points are exactly where they should be. Everything here…

Banks Rebuilding Positive Image

Posted on October 10, 2017 by Laura Lam

The banking industry’s image with the American public has climbed to its highest point since the 2008 financial meltdown, with 43% now viewing it positively and 30% negatively. But Americans still view banking less positively than they did in the years leading up to the crisis, when it ranked above the average for other industries Gallup measures. The public’s net positive rating of banking — the percentage with a positive view minus the percentage with a negative view of it — slid from +32 in 2007 to -23 in 2009, and bottomed out at -28 in 2010 and 2012. This year’s…

Auto and Mortgage Loan Defaults at Lowest Level in Decade

Posted on August 29, 2017 by Laura Lam

Despite a slight increase in July, the default rate for first mortgage loans still sits at its lowest point in the last 10 years, according to the latest S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices.  In fact, the mortgage default rate for first and second mortgages aren’t too far off from their July 2016 level, as homebuyers get better at paying their mortgage on time. The indices represent a comprehensive measure of changes in consumer credit defaults and include bank card and auto loan default rates. As seen in the chart on the left, the first mortgage default rate increased two basis…